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#1 28-07-2017 05:29:33

billtao
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Date d'inscription: 05-04-2017
Messages: 1066

Dear 1987, you're not going to believe what has happened to baseball

Here's the thing: It doesn't matter Authentic Jatavis Brown Womens Jersey how you make your team better. Although everyone wants pitching, and the market for position players doesn't appear to be all that hot, adding 10 runs on offense is just as valuable as subtracting 10 runs on defense. Here are five trades for position players that need to happen. Given that the Arizona Diamondbacks didn't give up all that much to acquire J.D. Martinez, the best hitter on the market, and given that all five are impending free agents like Martinez, none will cost a premium prospect. Jay Bruce to Cleveland Indians The Indians http://www.officialnikechargershop.com/ … -c-52.html  have allowed the fewest runs in the American League, so why haven't they run away in the AL Central? Because their offense has been merely middle of the pack. Jason Kipnis, currently on the DL with a hamstring strain, has had a terrible season, and Carlos Santana hasn't been able to match last year's power output. The position they should look to upgrade, however, is outfield. The Indians rank 25th in the majors in home runs from their outfielders, though a more productive 10th in wOBA. Michael Brantley is fine, though not hitting for much power, and Lonnie Chisenhall has been productive when not injured. Rookie center fielder Bradley Zimmer started off hot after his call-up in May but is hitting .269/.314/.449 in July, with 23 strikeouts in 21 games -- although he homered in his past two games. Enter Bruce, who has 25 home runs for the New York Mets. He provides a power bat and gives Terry Francona more lineup flexibility. If Francona wants to go for more offense, he can slide Chisenhall over to center and play Bruce in right. If he wants better defense, he keeps Zimmer in center and Chisenhall in right, and Bruce can DH for Santana, with Edwin Encarnacion playing first base. Say you had a time machine. Say you set it to 1987. Say you met a baseball fan from that year named Kelly. What could you tell Kelly about baseball in 2017 that would most strain his or her Michael Strahan Youth Jersey belief? Keep in mind, Kelly has seen lots of representations of the future. Kelly expects the future to be different: sentient refrigerators and miracle drugs and time machines and dystopian utopias. Kelly knows computers are a thing in the world, that steroids are a thing in sports, that TVs can have more than 13 channels and that football and basketball are ascendant. And Kelly had seen what had happened in baseball in the previous 30 years: the internationalization of the game, the physical growth of the average player, the replacement of complete games with saves, the professionalization of a league that had fairly recently been played by offseason car salesmen. Kelly expects change, so to shock Kelly, you'd need something http://www.authenticnikegiantshop.com/M … han-Jersey that (A) came out of nowhere, (B) reversed something about the sport's trajectory, (C) carries on that trajectory, but to an extreme endpoint, or (D) reflects some broader cultural change that dramatically reimagines America and, by secondary effect, its pastime. There are any number of directions you could take on the "quants run baseball" front. In the 1980s, 44 percent of GMs had played in the majors and 68 percent had played in the minors. By the 2010s, those figures were 10 and 15 percent, respectively, according to research by Baseball Prospectus' Dustin Palmateer, and the main qualification for front-office work was an Ivy League degree. Now give all those non-ballplaying GMs mind-melting data, like literally the spin rate of every pitch, and you have something like the 'Minority Report' model of a future century: So much information that modeled reality takes precedence over observed reality. Or, at least, that's how William Jackson Womens Jersey FIP would seem to Kelly. FIP, for the uninitiated, takes a pitcher's strikeout, walk and home run rates and estimates what the pitcher's ERA should be, stripping out things such as luck and his defense. Various ERA estimators have taken this notion and gotten more complex, more detailed -- deserved run average accounts for dozens of variables that are out of a pitcher's control, including weather and the umpires -- but the philosophical decision FIP makes is that results can be deceiving. It supposes that a pitcher who allowed four runs per nine innings might actually have pitched better, and been more valuable, than the one who allowed three runs per nine innings. Not every fan or front-office type in 2017 believes this, but every time you hear FanGraphs' WAR cited, you're hearing an endorsement of this philosophy. And in the next few years, you can almost certainly count on seeing the Statcast-derived xwOBA -- expected weighted on-base average, which estimates the value of a batted ball based on where it was hit and how hard, instead of whether it landed safely for a hit -- used as the basis of new offensive metrics. I mean, I'm alive in 2017 and that shocks even me. But think about this from Kelly's perspective: In the 1980s, nobody ever led his league with fewer than 60 steals, except the strike-shortened 1981 season. In the '80s there were six player seasons with more than 100 steals, six different players stole at least 80 bags, 11 stole more than 70 and 31 stole at least 50 in a season. Rickey Henderson set http://www.bengalsshopfootball.com/beng … son+jersey a single-season record with 130. Stolen bases per game in 1987 had doubled from 20 years earlier. Teams were building around the stolen base, sometimes with great success (the Cardinals) and sometimes to great disappointment (the Yankees). Vince Coleman was bad at everything else in baseball, but just by stealing bases he was a star.

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#3 13-09-2018 12:40:55

Harryjosh
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Re: Dear 1987, you're not going to believe what has happened to baseball

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#4 13-09-2018 12:43:30

Harryjosh
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Re: Dear 1987, you're not going to believe what has happened to baseball

Harryjosh a écrit:

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#5 13-09-2018 17:48:59

Muhammad
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Re: Dear 1987, you're not going to believe what has happened to baseball

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#6 13-09-2018 17:50:37

Muhammad
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Re: Dear 1987, you're not going to believe what has happened to baseball

#7 13-09-2018 17:51:24

Muhammad
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Re: Dear 1987, you're not going to believe what has happened to baseball

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#8 14-09-2018 09:54:49

Harryjosh
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Re: Dear 1987, you're not going to believe what has happened to baseball

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